holt winters指数平滑中水平、趋势和季节指数的解释

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2022-02-28 10:46:55

我正在尝试学习 Holt Winters 指数平滑。在算法中,预测时涉及三个指标(水平、趋势、季节性)。

我的问题:

What is the interpretation of these 3 indices?
How do I differentiate between different values of these indices? For example, what is the difference between level 100 and level 200 or what is the difference between trend 2 and trend 5?
How do we initiate these values?

任何帮助将不胜感激。

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